La Murga Report – 4/10/2022 vs. Minnesota

If you are unfamiliar with the concept of The False 9’s La Murga Report, click here.

Although it may feel as if the 2022 season has just begun, the truth is that we’ve almost completed one quarter of our home games for the season. Thus, we at the La Murga Report feel we’re at the point where some of these numbers are beginning to be significant and not the result of random noise. Therefore, we think it’s time to introduce a new statistical measurement into the weekly metrics: net success percentage (or NSPct).

At its heart, NSPct will tell you how often a goal is scored or conceded when La Murga plays a particular song. NSPct is calculated as follows: (goals scored – goals conceded) / (total times played) * 100. If the NSPct is 0, that means that the song has no measurable effect on team success. When the NSPct is positive, that indicates that more good things than bad things happen while the song is playing. When the NSPct is negative, then the song may soon build a reputation as an accursed song and find itself the subject of heated discussion on the Austin FC Facebook page. Make sense? Good.

Moving forward I will continue to get more granular as the data points pile up, so be on the lookout for new statistical measurements in the coming weeks. But for now, let’s get to the numbers.

What Songs Were Played, and How Many Times?

What Songs Were Playing When Austin Scored?

What Songs Were Playing When Minnesota Scored?

Season Totals

Final Thoughts

Excluding moments of silence (which are not a normal part of the repertoire and are unlikely to happen with any great frequency), “Bella Ciao” has now overtaken “Ole Ole Ola” as the song with the highest NSPct. On the other end of the spectrum, “La Bamba” is the only song that has seen a goal conceded without at least one corresponding goal scored. This raises the question: do we have a new “McKalla” candidate for the most accursed song of 2022?

Eh, probably not. Through four home games, 14 of the 22 songs performed this year have seen neither a goal scored nor conceded, so we’re still talking about low-percentage events and small sample sizes. But rest assured that we here at the La Murga Report will continue to monitor the situation as it develops.

H.E. Pennypacker

H.E. Pennypacker spends far too much time thinking about Austin FC, much to the consternation of his friends, family, and employers. He could really go for a sandwich right about now.